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For Immediate Release
Shop.org Contacts: Scott Krugman or Ellen Tolley (202) 783-7971
Email: krugmans@nrf.com or tolleye@nrf.com
Forrester Contact: Erica Cantwell (212) 672-1757
Email: ecantwell@forrester.com


Online Retail Sales, Profitability
Continue to Climb, According to
Shop.org /Forrester Research
- U.S. Online Sales Expected to Hit $172 Billion in 2005 -

Washington, DC, May 24, 2005--Ten years after its inception, online retailing is growing up fast. According to The State of Retailing Online 8.0 , an annual Shop.org study conducted by Forrester Research (Nasdaq: FORR) of 137 retailers, 2004 online sales rose 23.8 percent to $141.4 billion. Excluding travel, online retail sales also rose 23.8 percent to $89.0 billion, representing 4.6 percent of total retail sales.*

The report predicts that online sales (including travel) will rise 22.0 percent to $172.4 billion this year. Sales excluding travel are expected to reach $109.6 billion.

Women's Retail Categories Poised for Growth

Several retail categories will experience steep growth this year, largely due to the growing acceptance of online shopping by women. In fact, categories with products purchased largely by women will see the most growth this year. Online sales of cosmetics and fragrances are expected to grow 33 percent while sales of over-the-counter medications and personal care will rise 32 percent. Additionally, sales of jewelry and luxury goods (31%) and flowers, cards, and gifts (30%) are expected to rise dramatically.

"Though initially adopted by men as a shopping tool, women are flocking to the Internet in droves to comparison shop, research, and buy," said Scott Silverman, Executive Director of Shop.org. "Online retailers who sell products that are purchased by women are in a favorable position this year, as we expect those categories to grow substantially."

In addition, several categories are expected to receive at least ten percent of their sector's sales from the Internet this year, including: computer hardware and software (48%), tickets (28%), travel (26%), books (20%), consumer electronics (13%), cosmetics and fragrances (12%), toys and video games (12%), and flowers, cards, and gifts (10%). This year, a total of 13 categories will reach the five-percent penetration point.

 

Profitability Continues to Climb

Multichannel retailers again posted record profitability last year. Last year, online retailers improved overall operating margins to 28 percent from 21 percent in 2003. Catalog-based retailers continue to boast the best operating margins, which rose to 32 percent last year from 28 percent in 2003.

"With profitability behind them, retailers can now focus on innovation and growth through things like increased integration of their online and offline businesses and internationalization of their sites," said Carrie Johnson, lead author of the report and Principal Analyst at Forrester Research. "One way retailers will grow sales over the next several years will be by launching country-specific sites and operations to accommodate a growing number of international customers."

Online Retailers Find Search Engine Marketing Pays Off

One of the most compelling findings of the study addressed retailers' marketing budgets and the effectiveness in marketing through certain channels. This year, search engine marketing appeared as the clear leader as a source of new customers, with retailers reporting that search engine marketing delivered 43 percent of overall customers to their sites. In 2004, 87 percent of retailers who participated in the study used pay-for-performance search placement and spent more than twice as much from their marketing budgets on this category than they did in 2003 ($877,630 in 2004 vs. $399,923 in 2003).

Multichannel Retailing Advances

According to the study, retailers are keenly aware of the importance that their website plays into their overall sales goals. In fact, retailers reported that the Web influenced 20 percent of in-store sales. As a result, retailers are striving to integrate their stores and websites, which signals cooperation among channels.

Last year, almost all (92%) multichannel retailers included URLs on in-store materials, up from just 77 percent in 2003. The majority of retailers (81%) also used websites to tout their stores. Additionally, 45 percent allowed consumers to purchase and redeem gift cards online and in stores, up from 30 percent in 2003. And nearly one-fourth (24%) of retailers offered in-store product availability on their websites last year.

About The State of Retailing Online 8.0

The State of Retailing Online 8.0 is a detailed survey that is based on information from 137 retailers that shared their confidential data. It explores the opportunities and challenges facing retailers selling and marketing on the Web, including store-based, catalog-based, and Web-only retailers.

Forrester is an independent technology research company that provides pragmatic and forward-thinking advice about technology's impact on business. Business, marketing, and IT professionals worldwide collaborate with Forrester to align their technology investments with their business goals. Forrester offers products and services in four major areas: Research, Data, Consulting, and Community. Established in 1983, Forrester is headquartered in Cambridge, Mass. For additional information, visit www.forrester.com.

Shop.org is the association for retailers online. It's where the best retail minds come together to gain the insight, knowledge, and intelligence to make smarter, more informed decisions in the evolving world of the Internet and multichannel retailing. Founded in 1996, Shop.org became a division of the National Retail Federation in January 2001. The association's membership includes interactive executives from store-based retailers, catalog-based retailers, Web-based retailers, and retail solution providers.

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* "Retail Sales" exclude travel and include the following categories: sporting goods and equipment; flowers, cards, and gifts; health and beauty; consumer electronics; other (subscriptions, art, and collectibles); apparel; jewelry and luxury goods; home; food and beverage; books; tickets; computer hardware and software; music and video; toys and video games; auctions; auto and auto parts. These are not the same categories that the National Retail Federation tracks; therefore, the numbers are not comparable.


For more Retail Industry information see
Retail Industry.






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